Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 14.812475 17.256696 19.917085 23.019905 26.531053 30.372557 34.884847
2025-06-08 10.042920 13.209776 17.016903 21.892653 27.928906 35.111676 44.255780
2025-06-15 8.099568 11.708842 16.390977 22.820874 31.318845 42.052142 56.502146
2025-06-22 6.638770 10.411588 15.633383 23.234077 33.830597 47.870453 67.625611
2025-06-29 5.337916 9.032340 14.460102 22.787847 34.963130 51.785588 76.377760
2025-07-06 4.241100 7.722203 13.136016 21.862863 35.193979 54.330441 83.283977
2025-07-13 3.864980 7.468701 13.335233 23.168772 38.714183 61.696824 97.395694
2025-07-20 3.518993 7.195554 13.443703 24.304477 42.023314 68.931755 111.732478
2025-07-27 3.142266 6.796530 13.275484 24.942841 44.563863 75.133983 124.864414
2025-08-03 2.747961 6.291628 12.847253 25.074031 46.257220 80.093874 136.346405
2025-08-10 2.333746 5.670022 12.119042 24.585545 46.843842 83.296529 145.221432
2025-08-17 1.987119 5.120429 11.443840 24.099586 47.358052 86.364745 153.995449
2025-08-24 1.655000 4.561905 10.722004 23.539693 47.861625 89.730101 163.956999
2025-08-31 1.314579 3.911286 9.723414 22.347871 47.154850 91.080564 170.838228
2025-09-07 1.199899 3.781019 9.797782 23.285025 50.467925 99.588084 190.314109
2025-09-14 1.062468 3.559026 9.633275 23.704113 52.816017 106.529284 207.482615
2025-09-21 0.890887 3.199074 9.091903 23.249867 53.398635 110.304605 219.300173
2025-09-28 0.721889 2.796540 8.375090 22.308644 52.893827 112.011065 227.485594
2025-10-05 0.687148 2.794555 8.650511 23.637389 57.161112 122.915200 252.910433
2025-10-12 0.646338 2.762852 8.843773 24.792814 61.148610 133.506092 278.275498
2025-10-19 0.588452 2.658143 8.826449 25.442206 64.098174 142.249927 300.624377
2025-10-26 0.518640 2.490679 8.609107 25.575658 65.926004 148.887742 319.321419
2025-11-02 0.438376 2.257500 8.163238 25.078742 66.299279 152.632964 332.664470